Grading eka-aluminum
% error = |predicted − actual| ÷ actual × 100
Mendeleev called the missing element "eka-aluminum." Here are his predictions
(rounded for grading) next to gallium's actual measured values.
| Property | Mendeleev's prediction | Actual | % error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Density (g/cm³) | 6.0 | 5.91 | |
| Melting point (°C) | 30 | 29.8 | |
| Atomic mass (g/mol) | 68 | 69.7 |
-
Compute all three percent errors (round to one decimal). What letter grade would you give a prediction machine this accurate — and why is predicting properties of something never seen more impressive than measuring them?
The pattern, as data
Melting points of elements 3–10 (in °C). Plot them (atomic number on x, melting point on y) and the table's hidden wave appears.
| Element | Atomic # | MP (°C) |
|---|---|---|
| Li | 3 | 180 |
| Be | 4 | 1,287 |
| B | 5 | 2,075 |
| C | 6 | 3,550 |
| N | 7 | −210 |
| O | 8 | −218 |
| F | 9 | −220 |
| Ne | 10 | −249 |
-
Range of the dataset (max − min, signs included):
-
Describe the shape: where does it rise, where does it crash? The next element, Na (#11), has MP 98 °C — low again, like Li. What does that restart tell you about why the table is called periodic?
Why chlorine weighs 35.5
The table says chlorine's atomic mass is 35.5 — but no chlorine atom weighs 35.5. About 75% are Cl-35 and 25% are Cl-37. The table reports a weighted average.
-
Compute it: (35 × 0.75) + (37 × 0.25) = ?
-
Why isn't the answer 36 — the plain average of 35 and 37? Use the word weighted in your answer.
-
Magnesium: 79% Mg-24, 10% Mg-25, 11% Mg-26. Compute the table's value. (0.79×24 + 0.10×25 + 0.11×26)
Two pies, same universe
Earth's crust: O 46.6% · Si 27.7% · Al 8.1% · Fe 5.0% · everything else 12.6%.
Human body: O 65% · C 18% · H 10% · N 3% · everything else 4%.
-
Check both pies: do they each sum to 100%? Show it.
-
Silicon is the crust's #2 element at 27.7% — and barely appears in your body. Carbon is your #2 — and barely appears in the crust. One sentence: what does the comparison say about how life selects its ingredients rather than just grabbing what's around?
Answer key — teachers
Part A
Density: 0.09/5.91 ≈ 1.5% · MP: 0.2/29.8 ≈ 0.7% · mass: 1.7/69.7 ≈ 2.4%.
- A-grade work: sub-3% errors on a never-seen element. Predicting beats measuring because it proves the pattern has power — the table knew chemistry it had never met.
Part B
- 3,550 − (−249) = 3,799 °C
- Rises Li→C (peak 3,550), crashes at N→Ne (all below −200). Na restarting LOW like Li = the pattern repeats — that's what periodic means: the wave comes around again every row.
Part C
- 26.25 + 9.25 = 35.5 ✓ matches the table.
- Plain average weights both isotopes equally; the real mix is 3:1 toward 35, so the weighted average leans toward the common isotope.
- 18.96 + 2.5 + 2.86 = 24.32 (matches the table's 24.3).
Part D
- 46.6+27.7+8.1+5.0+12.6 = 100 ✓ · 65+18+10+3+4 = 100 ✓
- Life is selective: it builds from reactive light elements (C, H, N) rather than mirroring the crust's abundance — chemistry chosen for function, not availability.